Work in Progress

The effects of excess reserves on the transmission of monetary policy

Draft available upon request.

Endogenous Bank Risks and the Lending Channel of Monetary Policy

with David Rivero and Hugo Rodriguez Mendizabal

We develop a general equilibrium banking model in which liquidity, credit and solvency risks are endogenously connected to banks’ lending decisions. In this framework, monetary policy is transmitted to the economy because it affects the link between bank risks and credit provision. The model provides a unified explanation for several empirical facts documented in the literature. Our results highlight the importance of incorporating endogenous risk interactions into the analysis of monetary transmission through the banking sector.

Latest draft.

Migration, Culture, and Long-Run Development: Evidence from Brazil’s German Colonies

This paper examines the long-term impact of early settlers on economic prosperity. Specifically, this paper investigates the long-term economic impact of 19th-century German immigration to southern Brazil, focusing on how early human capital shocks shaped development in a largely undeveloped region. Exploiting spatial variation in proximity to historical German settlements, I find that municipalities closer to these colonies exhibit significantly higher current literacy rates and income levels. The empirical strategy combines a quasi-natural experiment with robustness checks, placebo tests, and a comparative analysis with Italian settlement areas to support causal interpretation. I show that literacy is a key mediating channel, and that historical proximity to German colonies is associated with structural shifts away from agriculture and toward human capital-intensive industries. These findings highlight the enduring influence of early skilled immigration on local development.

Latest draft

The Impact of Work Sponsor Visas on Earnings, Productivity and Sorting

with Cecilia Karmel

Published papers

Which Firms Get Credit? Evidence from Firm-level Data, Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, December 2018.

with Jonathan Hambur

Financial Stability Risks and Retailing, Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin, September 2018.

with Timoth de Atholia